Quiet start to the Severe weather season

Given the weather has been more Winter-like the last 2 weekends (cold Easter; record snow and lows this past Sunday) it’s no shock that the severe weather season in Kansas has gotten off to a very slow start. In fact, the Wichita branch of the National Weather Service has issued just 3 severe thunderstorm warnings so far in 2018 and NO tornado warnings, compared to 37/6 between Jan 1 -April 10 of last year.

Then this morning, there were more startling stats from NWS Wichita:

NWS ICT Twitter
Pairs of tweets from NWS ICT this morning

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a severe risk to our east Friday, then the predictability drops off in the Day 5-8 time frame.

Finally, I saw this tweet yesterday from Weather.us Meteorologist Ryan Maue. If you’re looking forward to warmer weather sticking around, one of the longer range computer models is hinting at just the opposite:

Cold weather sticks around?

I (jokingly) told a friend last night: it’s going to be quiet until the last week of May- first week of June then we’ll get our severe weather season.  After that, it’s going right to triple digits. On our current pace, this might not be far off!  Unless of course the cold weather sticks around…

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Multimedia Target Briefing, 5/29

VIDEO, AUDIO AND WRITTEN BRIEFINGS ON TODAY’S SIGNIFICANT STORM EVOLUTION. We talk details in the briefing, but suffice it to say we expect tornadoes to form in the US 283 corridor of western Kansas (mostly south of US 50) bey around 3pm. They will quickly go severe, and some may even exhibit the nearly stationary tendencies we saw last night.But for those storms that are able to remain isolated and get off the dryline, the evening hours hold much potential for strengthening.

4 Comments

  1. Certainly been an unusual one. My Facebook memories have had someone chasing related every day for the past week or more… And I haven’t even started putting the stuff in the truck yet this year!

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