KSStorm.Info Briefing: May 16, 2022

A chance for storms exists in parts of Kansas a good portion of the week.But overall chances are much lower than normal for this time of year -- the middle week of May, while being among the prettiest week of the year, is usually among the most stormy but conditions are lining up just a little "off."
sunshine w green grass

In a normal year this would be a fairly stormy week, and we can see they seasonal processes at work with an umber of upper waves passing by during the week. But things are lining up just a bit off for our part of the country, moving the threat for severe weather mostly out of Kansas. There are a couple of exceptions, though. In southwestern Kansas, there is a marginal chance a cluster of storms will develop late tonight or move in from the panhandles. Models depict this cluster falling apart before it makes it very far east overnight.

Better chances for severe weather are in place tomorrow.

ks swody2

However the chances are highly conditional. A strong cap will be in place over much of the region. If a few storms can break the cap there is a decent risk for tornadoes, and large hail would be possible as well.

Looking ahead, a cluster of storms would be possible Wednesday night south of US 54/400, then most of the rain chances move east for the weekend and we get to enjoy markedly cooler days across the Sunflower state, with highs in the low 70’s and lows near or below 50.

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