Lots of sunshine is expected this weekend into Monday, with highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds will be breezy, in the 12-22 mph range for most of the state, so the fire danger issues won’t go away completely.
There could be a few storms Monday evening, with the best chances extending from Central Oklahoma into Southeast Kansas, but that will come after sunset, as we see the moisture return to the region. One or two of the storms could get on the rowdy side.
Sunny skies continue Tuesday, too, with highs in the mid 80s.
As Scott laid out very well yesterday, we continue to watch the late afternoon and evening hours Tuesday for the possibility of severe weather. A dryline will setup, generally between US 183 and K-14 highways, during the late afternoon and evening hours. If there is enough convergence on the dryline and storms develop, severe weather will be likely. Wind profiles suggest the possibility of tornadoes, too, with the greatest chance being east of the Kansas Turnpike. Activity should subside and move out of the area after midnight Tuesday.
Models indicate the dryline will retreat west into Central Kansas Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning, and we could start Wednesday with low clouds. There is still a lot of model discrepancy about how Wednesday could play out, but there is the possibility for storms from about midday on and once again, severe weather is possible.
We will monitor the Tuesday/Wednesday periods closely and will provide additional updates through the weekend. The quiet weather is a great chance for you to get your severe weather plan together and clean out your shelters, in case you need them.