Look for increasing clouds today as a storm system moves by to our south. As has been the case the last several days, the best chances for any rainfall will be southeast of the Flint Hills. A cool front will also move through the area during the afternoon, switching the winds to the north with gusts at times to 35 mph. Highs will top out in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Decreasing clouds will be on tap for all areas tonight as the system moves away from the region.
Full sunshine returns Tuesday and into Wednesday, with temps warming up into the mid 70s. Fire danger will also be back in the high to extreme categories in southern and central Kansas by Wednesday, as south winds bring moisture into the area ahead of the next storm system. Would not be surprised to see fire weather products issued for this period, perhaps as early as this afternoon. We’ll see increasing clouds Wednesday night, with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Clouds will continue to thicken on Thursday, and by the afternoon, we could see rain showers begin to develop across the area. Right now, we are siding with the Euro model with timing for the second storm system, given the presence of a strong east coast ridge and the trend in modeling for a stronger system. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s. A steady rain looks likely Thursday night, with lows falling into the mid 30s. Will need to watch Thursday night for a possible mix of rain/snow if a colder solution verifies. The best chances of that would be west of Highway 281.
Precip could linger into Friday, before skies clear out. Next weekend looks sunny & mild, and we’re still watching a third storm that could bring the season’s first severe weather risk for the beginning of the following week.