KSStorm.Info Briefing: February 15 & 16, 2022

What. A. Mess. The state of the forecast or the state of the plains after the system passes tomorrow night and Thursday? Both, actually.
carroll spinney and oscar the grouch 2014

What. A. Mess.

The state of the forecast or the state of the plains after the system passes tomorrow night and Thursday? Both, actually.

The good news: plentiful moisture will be seen in much of the state. The bad news: it will come in the form of not only rain and snow, but potentially thunder sleet/snow or freezing thundershowers.

I’m going to treat this pretty broadly because Matt has been working all day on an in-depth analysis. This is among the more frustrating forecasts in some time because of a layer of warm air aloft that’s expected to move through in the time while the system is transitioning from a rain maker to a snow maker. Exactly where that ends up will play a big role in what any one location sees.

We believe the highest band of snowfall will be along and a few counties either side of I-35/Kansas Turnpike. This could extend west as far as a Pratt to Ellsworth line, but our confidence is lower west of K-61.

Here is the status of official NWS Watches and Warning for this system:
winterAnd official NWS Snowfall and Ice maps (which we believe will be revised upward as we get closer to the event):

snow72ice72

Matt’s Outlook will post later tonight.

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