What. A. Mess.
The state of the forecast or the state of the plains after the system passes tomorrow night and Thursday? Both, actually.
The good news: plentiful moisture will be seen in much of the state. The bad news: it will come in the form of not only rain and snow, but potentially thunder sleet/snow or freezing thundershowers.
I’m going to treat this pretty broadly because Matt has been working all day on an in-depth analysis. This is among the more frustrating forecasts in some time because of a layer of warm air aloft that’s expected to move through in the time while the system is transitioning from a rain maker to a snow maker. Exactly where that ends up will play a big role in what any one location sees.
We believe the highest band of snowfall will be along and a few counties either side of I-35/Kansas Turnpike. This could extend west as far as a Pratt to Ellsworth line, but our confidence is lower west of K-61.
Matt’s Outlook will post later tonight.