March: In Like a Lamb

Much of this week week will see quiet weather as an upper level ridge builds back across the Rockies and high plains giving way to dry northwest flow aloft.

On Thursday, wind is expected to pick up a little as a cool front sweeps by, raising fire risk in the Flint Hills late Thursday afternoon. 

A leeside trough will develop and deepen later in the week allowing for increasing south to southwest winds Friday and Saturday producing frequent gusts over 30 mph. Afternoon high temperatures will push back into the mid 60s Friday and even 70s for Saturday giving way to minimum relative humidity values into the 20 percent range producing elevated fire weather risk for a large part of the state.

A frontal system pushes in late Sunday, bringing slight rain chances for northwest and south central Kansas. At this point there is significant disagreement between the GFS and Euro models as to the location, strength, and timing the trough. However, there does seem to be some general agreement that some kind of more unsettled weather is expected late Sunday into Monday. Any precipitation should fall as rain, as temperatures will remain above freezing at night and into the 50’s and 60’s daytime.

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